2021 IDP Redraft Rankings – Defensive Backs
Listed below is a sample of my 2021 Defensive Back Rankings for IDP Redraft Leagues. I will update these sample rankings periodically during the off-season to reflect changes in free agency, defensive schemes, playing time, draft selections, etc. However, keep in mind that the information listed here is just a small sample of a much larger set of rankings and descriptions that are accessible through purchasing my 2021 IDP Fantasy Football Draft Guide. Or get access to both my draft guide and all of my premium in-season content by signing up for the Gold Package.
Drafting Philosophy:
Defensive backs have the most variability in point production from year-to-year. In other words, your top 20 defensive backs in 2021 could be quite different from your top 20 defensive backs in 2020 (especially in “big play leagues”).
Much of this variability is because defensive back production is often dependent on the performance of the team’s front seven. Additionally, the proliferation of nickel and dime sub packages have increased the number of defensive backs seeing 70%+ of the team’s weekly snaps and made the position even more difficult to project from a fantasy perspective.
This said, I find it hard to use one of my first defensive picks on a defensive back. In reality, there are very few “locks” at the fantasy DB position outside of the first couple of tiers. Therefore, I usually try to grab a solid veteran fantasy producer (like Kevin Byard in recent years) to serve as my anchor player and round out the position with young, upside talent in high leverage roles. This strategy affords me the luxury of using higher draft picks on other defensive positions where their projected performance is more accurately predicted.
Scoring System: Solo Tackle = 1.5 points Assist = 0.75 points Tackles for Loss = 2 points Sack = 4 points Interception = 5 points Forced Fumble = 4 points Fumble Recovery = 4 points Pass Deflection = 1.5 point Defensive TD = 6 points |
2. Jamal Adams S – SEA (9), +0 vs. ECR
There were some concerns when Adams was dealt to Seattle that his fantasy value would be diminished. However, we actually saw an increase in value as the team used him to rush the passer an absurd amount (his 78 blitzes led all safeties by a wide margin and he only played 12 games). So although his 9.5 sacks may seem near impossible to replicate, I don’t think it’s as far-fetched as many believe. The Seahawks pass rush is still likely to be below average, so the massive amount of blitzing opportunities should still be there for the fifth year player out of LSU. Six sacks may be his floor assuming he plays near a full season worth of games.
4. Jordan Poyer S – BUF (7), +1 vs. ECR
Despite stringing together three top 10-15 DB finishes in a row, Poyer remained undervalued headed into the 2020 season. This was mainly driven by playing in a smaller market and not having elite tackle production. That last part changed in 2020, however as Poyer set a career high in total tackles with 134. Although we are likely to see some regression in that area, he’s proven he can justify a DB1 selection by contributing in several different ways, providing owners with a nice high-floor option if they missed out on Budda Baker, Jamal Adams, or Derwin James.
5. Jeremy Chinn S – CAR (13), -2 vs. ECR
Chinn was an IDP I heavily advocated for in last year’s draft guide given it was fairly clear early on the team was going to use him more as a traditional linebacker than a safety. This held true as Chinn spent the bulk of his time near the line of scrimmage whether than be lined up inside the tackles or out in the slot. There’s nothing to indicate that the team plans on using him any differently than they did in 2020, so he should once again be a high floor, tackle option for us at the DB position (assuming your league classifies him as such).
6. Jessie Bates III S – CIN (10), +0 vs. ECR
Bates had been a solid producer to begin his career, surpassing 100 total tackles and generating three INTs in his first seasons. However, 2020 saw him set career highs in total tackles and pass deflections and was graded as the NFL’s #1 safety by Pro Football Focus. He still plays a deeper safety role than I would like for a DB1, but given the Bengals linebacker situation is still quite unsettled, he’s likely to continue seeing enough tackle opportunity to warrant this ranking and has shown enough big play ability to provide owners with a decent floor.
7. John Johnson III S – CLE (13), +0 vs. ECR
Johnson landed in Cleveland in the off-season and called his joining the team an “opportunity of a lifetime.” He’s been a solid, low-end DB1 for us the past few seasons and I expect that to continue with the Browns. It’s not yet quite clear how the team plans to utilize him but I know DC Joe Woods has stated he prefers to have the team in a lot of “big dime” looks. And if Johnson comes down in plays on the second level there, he could rack up tackles at a career high rate.
8. Justin Simmons S – DEN (11), +2 vs. ECR
Simmons isn’t a player I’ve had a lot of shares of in the last few years but I probably should have. He’s not going to slot in as a high-end tackle producer, but he’s increased his big play production every year he’s been in the league and does enough in the tackle department to make me feel comfortable with him as a DB2-DB2+.
10. Taylor Rapp S – LAR (11), +4 vs. ECR (SLEEPER)
Rapp had a solid rookie season and was to set build on that in year two, but his snap counts were unexpectedly limited to begin the season and then he suffered a season-ending knee injury in Week 10. With John Johnson gone in free agency, Rapp is the frontrunner to take over the strong safety position and his per snap production last year (most FPP among all safeties that played 35 or more snaps per game) has me excited about his production potential in 2021. We just need to make sure he secures the starting position over Terrell Burgess.
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2021 IDP Draft Guide Features:
- Continually Updated in Real-Time Until Start of the Regular Season (9/9)*
- 280 Defensive Players Ranked in Tiered Fashion – 90 DL, 100 LB, 90 DB
- Customizable Projections for All Ranked IDPs
- Detailed Player Descriptions**
- Overall Top 100 IDP Rankings List
- Sleeper/Target/Avoid Notation
- Top 50 IDP Rookie Rankings
- Rankings Comparison to FantasyPros’ Expert Consensus (ECR) Rankings
- Excel Export Functionality
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